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Canary in the Coal Mine: Bank Liquidity Shortages and Local Economic Activity

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  • Iyer, Rajkamal

Abstract

This paper investigates the relation between bank liquidity and local economic activity. We find that an increase in deposit rates offered by banks within a geographic region is associ- ated with contractions in economic activity. As a region heads to an economic downturn, deposit growth slows down, prompting banks to increase deposit rates to support their balance sheet. This increase in deposit rates reflects the liquidity squeeze experienced by banks due to deteriorating economic conditions, which in turn serves as an indicator of an impending economic contraction.

Suggested Citation

  • Iyer, Rajkamal, 2022. "Canary in the Coal Mine: Bank Liquidity Shortages and Local Economic Activity," CEPR Discussion Papers 17633, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:17633
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Recessions; Banks; Deposit rates;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E00 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - General
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General

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