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What are the consequences of global banking for the international transmission of shocks? A quantitative analysis

Author

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  • Garetto, Stefania
  • Fillat, José L.
  • Smith, Arthur V.

Abstract

The global financial crisis of 2008 was followed by a wave of regulatory reforms that affected large banks, especially those with a global presence. These reforms were reactive to the crisis. In this paper we propose a structural model of global banking that can be used proactively to perform counterfactual analysis on the effects of alternative regulatory policies. The structure of the model mimics the US regulatory framework and highlights the organizational choices that banks face when entering a foreign market: branching versus subsidiarization. When calibrated to match moments from a sample of European banks, the model is able to replicate the response of the US banking sector to the European sovereign debt crisis. Our counterfactual analysis suggests that pervasive subsidiarization, higher capital requirements, or ad hoc monetary policy interventions would have mitigated the effects of the crisis on US lending.

Suggested Citation

  • Garetto, Stefania & Fillat, José L. & Smith, Arthur V., 2018. "What are the consequences of global banking for the international transmission of shocks? A quantitative analysis," CEPR Discussion Papers 13274, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:13274
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    1. Jose M Berrospide & Ricardo Correa & Linda S Goldberg & Friederike Niepmann, 2017. "International Banking and Cross-Border Effects of Regulation: Lessons from the United States," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 13(2), pages 435-476, March.
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    3. Ricardo Correa & Horacio Sapriza & Andrei Zlate, 2012. "Liquidity shocks, dollar funding costs, and the bank lending channel during the European sovereign crisis," International Finance Discussion Papers 1059, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    5. Jonathan Fiechter & Inci Ötker & Anna Ilyina & Michael Hsu & Andre O Santos & Jay Surti, 2011. "Subsidiaries or Branches; Does One Size Fit All?," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 11/04, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Danisewicz, Piotr & Reinhardt, Dennis & Sowerbutts, Rhiannon, 2017. "On a tight leash: Does bank organizational structure matter for macroprudential spillovers?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 174-194.
    7. Mark Egan & Ali Hortaçsu & Gregor Matvos, 2017. "Deposit Competition and Financial Fragility: Evidence from the US Banking Sector," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(1), pages 169-216, January.
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    10. Nicola Cetorelli & Linda S Goldberg, 2011. "Global Banks and International Shock Transmission: Evidence from the Crisis," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 59(1), pages 41-76, April.
    11. Jonathan Fiechter & Ms. Inci Ötker & Ms. Anna Ilyina & Michael Hsu & Mr. Andre O Santos & Jay Surti, 2011. "Subsidiaries or Branches: Does One Size Fit All?," IMF Staff Discussion Notes 2011/004, International Monetary Fund.
    12. repec:lmu:muenar:20226 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Timothy Dunne & J. Bradford Jensen & Mark J. Roberts, 2009. "Producer Dynamics: New Evidence from Micro Data," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number dunn05-1.
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    Cited by:

    1. Albertazzi, Ugo & Cimadomo, Jacopo & Maffei-Faccioli, Nicolò, 2021. "Foreign banks and the doom loop," Working Paper Series 2540, European Central Bank.
    2. Chenzi Xu, 2022. "Reshaping Global Trade: The Immediate and Long-Run Effects of Bank Failures [“Shift-Share Designs: Theory and Inference,”]," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 137(4), pages 2107-2161.
    3. Chenzi Xu, 2023. "Reshaping Global Trade: The Immediate and Long-Run Effects of Bank Failures," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 137(4), pages 2107-2161.
    4. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Jackson, Timothy P. & Pereira da Silva, Luiz A., 2024. "Cross-border regulatory spillovers and macroprudential policy coordination," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    5. Chenzi Xu, 2023. "Reshaping Global Trade: The Immediate and Long-Run Effects of Bank Failures," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 137(4), pages 2107-2161.
    6. Iñaki Aldasoro & John Caparusso & Yingyuan Chen, 2022. "Global banks' local presence: a new lens," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global banks; Banking regulation; Shock transmission;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F12 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Models of Trade with Imperfect Competition and Scale Economies; Fragmentation
    • F23 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - Multinational Firms; International Business
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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