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Duración, probabilidad e incidencia del desempleo en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Jaime Tenjo Galarza
  • Martha Misas Arango
  • Alejandro Gaviria Jaramillo
  • Alfredo Contreras Eitner

Abstract

La tasa de desempleo de una economía se considera el mejor indicador sintético de lo que sucede en el mercado laboral. Sin embargo, a pesar de sus ventajas, dicho indicador no arroja información sobre muchos aspectos de lo que sucede en dicho mercado. Una forma de aproximarse al entendimiento de esta dinámica es investigando tanto la probabilidad de que una persona se encuentre desempleada, como la duración del desempleo y los factores que la determinan. Estos son temas ampliamente estudiados en la literatura sobre economía laboral, pero que en el caso colombiano no han recibido la atención que ameritan. Este artículo se centra en la estimación de la duración del desempleo y la probabilidad de estar en desempleo para Colombia. El objetivo fundamental es proporcionar información detallada sobre las características de los procesos de búsqueda de empleo y del desempleo en Colombia, incluyendo la estimación de la incidencia del desempleo. Este trabajo busca proporcionar información útil para el desarrollo de políticas de mercado laboral. ******* The unemployment rate in an economy is considered the best synthetic indicator of what happens in the labor market. However, despite its advantages, this indicator does not yield information on several matters of what occurs in that market. A first approach to the dynamics of unemployment is to investigate both the probability of being unemployed, and the duration of unemployment considering its determinants. These are topics widely studied by the labor economics literature except in Colombia where it is an almost unexplored issue. This article focuses on the estimation of both the duration of unemployment and the probability of being unemployed for Colombia. The main objective is to provide detailed information of the processes of job search, unemployment and its characteristics, including the estimation of the incidence of unemployment. This paper aims to provide useful information for designing new policies for the labor market.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaime Tenjo Galarza & Martha Misas Arango & Alejandro Gaviria Jaramillo & Alfredo Contreras Eitner, 2013. "Duración, probabilidad e incidencia del desempleo en Colombia," Revista IB 12665, Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística - DANE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000482:012665
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    Keywords

    tasa de desempleo; mercado laboral; duración del desempleo; incidencia del desempleo.;
    All these keywords.

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