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Investment decisions, NPV and bounded rationality

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  • Carlo Alberto Magni

Abstract

The Net Present Value maximizing model has a respectable ancestry and is considered by most scholars a theoretically sound decision model. In real-life applications, decision makers use the NPV rule, but apply a subjectively determined hurdle rate, as opposed to the allegedly correct opportunity cost of capital. According to a heuristics-and-biases-program approach, this implies that the hurdle-rate rule is a biased heuristic. This papers shows that the hurdle-rate rule may be interpreted as a fruitful strategy of bounded rationality, where several important element are integrated and condensed into an aspiration level. This paper also addresses the issue of a fruitful cooperation between bounded and unbounded rationality, of which the heuristic NPV is one significant example.

Suggested Citation

  • Carlo Alberto Magni, 2010. "Investment decisions, NPV and bounded rationality," Proyecciones Financieras y Valoración 7419, Master Consultores.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000463:007419
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    Cited by:

    1. Magni, Carlo Alberto, 2016. "Capital depreciation and the underdetermination of rate of return: A unifying perspective," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 54-79.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Finance; investment decisions; Net Present Value; bounded rationality; hurdle rate; heuristic; methodology;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A11 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Role of Economics; Role of Economists
    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • B41 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - Economic Methodology - - - Economic Methodology
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • D46 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Value Theory
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G31 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Capital Budgeting; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies
    • M21 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - Business Economics

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