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Ciclos económicos de Colombia entre 1975 y 2012: factores internos y externos

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  • David Hernando Morales Álvarez

Abstract

Este documento realiza una breve revisión de la literatura de ciclos económicos, metodologías usadas para identificarlos y lo que se ha escrito respecto a Colombia. Con el uso del filtro econométrico de Hodrick y Prescott aplicado al Producto Interno Bruto, se halló cuatro ciclos, sin embargo, aplicándolo al desempleo, el número de ciclos encontrados fueron tres. Entre factores internos y externos que tienen mayor relevancia en las fluctuaciones, se encuentran los términos de intercambio, flujos de capital y el gasto público, mostrando la vulnerabilidad del país a choques externos.

Suggested Citation

  • David Hernando Morales Álvarez, 2015. "Ciclos económicos de Colombia entre 1975 y 2012: factores internos y externos," Econógrafos, Escuela de Economía 12623, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000176:012623
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    File URL: http://fce.unal.edu.co/centro-editorial/docs/econografos-escuela-economia/76-ciclos-economicos-de-colombia-entre-1975-y-2012-factores-internos-y-externos
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ciclos de negocio; impactos internacionales; filtro Hodrick y Prescott; crisis económica; auge económico; Colombia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F62 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Macroeconomic Impacts

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