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Proyecciones macroeconómicas de la economía colombiana y análisis de la intensidad energética

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  • Pabón, César

    (FEDESARROLLO)

Abstract

Este estudio se centra en dos objetivos principales. En primer lugar, realiza proyecciones de crecimiento económico (PIB) por actividad económica utilizando enfoques de oferta y demanda de manera trimestral y anual. Las estimaciones de crecimiento consideran expectativas altas, bajas y base, lo que permite pronósticos variados para el consumo de energía. En segundo lugar, se realiza un análisis de sensibilidad de la intensidad energética para diferentes escenarios de crecimiento económico en diversos sectores. El trabajo destaca la importancia de la velocidad de la transición energética, la inversión en infraestructura y la política de reindustrialización en el crecimiento económico y en la intensidad energética. Finalmente, se concluye que realizar una transición energética responsable es crucial para evitar impactos económicos negativos. Además, alcanzar los objetivos del PAI-PROURE es fundamental para mejorar la eficiencia energética.

Suggested Citation

  • Pabón, César, 2023. "Proyecciones macroeconómicas de la economía colombiana y análisis de la intensidad energética," Informes de Investigación 21035, Fedesarrollo.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000124:021035
    Note: FINANCIADOR - UPME
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/11445/4560
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Juan Mauricio Ramírez & Leonardo Villar, 2015. "Macroeconomía de las concesiones de cuarta generación," Informes de Investigación 15060, Fedesarrollo.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Intensidad Energética; Producto Interno Bruto; PIB PAI-PROURE; Energy Efficiency;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • P18 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Capitalist Economies - - - Energy; Environment

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