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The Determinants of UN Interventions. Are There Regional Preferences?

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  • Juan C. Duque
  • Michael Jetter
  • Santiago Sosa

Abstract

What leads the United Nations Security Council to intervene in one conflict, but remain inactive in others of similar magnitude and cruelty? This paper analyzes all registered 178 internal and internationalized internal conflicts since 1945, with the goal to unveil what determines the probability of a UN intervention. Our main focus lies on the question whether the geographical proximity to the ve permanent members of the UN Security Council (China,France, Russia, the United Kingdom, and the United States) has an e ect on the probability of intervention. Our results suggest that the UN is substantially more likely to intervene in conflicts located in Europe. A more detailed look at distances revels that for every 1,000 kilometers of distance from France or the United Kingdom the probability of intervention decreases by about one third. Further, we nd that UN intervention is signi cantly more likely to happen in smaller (less population), poorer (smaller GDP per capita), and less open economies (openness to international trade).

Suggested Citation

  • Juan C. Duque & Michael Jetter & Santiago Sosa, 2013. "The Determinants of UN Interventions. Are There Regional Preferences?," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10731, Universidad EAFIT.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:010731
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    File URL: http://repository.eafit.edu.co/bitstream/10784/745/1/2013_10_Michael_Jetter.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    4. Mark J. Mullenbach & Gerard P. Matthews, 2008. "Deciding to Intervene: An Analysis of International and Domestic Influences on United States Interventions in Intrastate Disputes," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 25-52, March.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    United Nations; Conflict Resolution;

    JEL classification:

    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • F52 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - National Security; Economic Nationalism
    • F53 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Agreements and Observance; International Organizations
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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