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Modelos de elección discreta: una aplicación a la demanda por cupos universitarios en Colombia

Author

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  • Andrés Ramírez Hassan

Abstract

Resumen:En este artículo se realiza una caracterización cuantitativa de la demanda de cupos universitarios por parte de bachilleres egresados de ciudades intermedias. Esto se realiza a través de modelos de elección discreta. Específicamente se encuentra que el número de programas ofrecidos aumenta la probabilidad de selección de las universidades por parte de los bachilleres, mientras que el ranking universitario está inversamente relacionado con dicha probabilidad. Por otra parte, se encuentra que la posición socioeconómica, medida a través del estrato, es una variable bastante explicativa de la elección universitaria; específicamente, los bachilleres provenientes de estratos bajos y medios tienden a optar por universidades públicas, mientras que los bachilleres de estratos altos seleccionan universidades privadas.Abstract: This article makes a quantitative characterization of high school graduates fromintermediate cities and their demand for university places. Specifically speaking, the results showthat the number of programs offered by universities increases the probability of choosing the latter,whereas university ranking has an inverse relationship with that probability. On the other hand, thesocio-economic state of high school graduates measured by their estrato" is a variable that explainstheir choice of university. Specifically, the students from low and middle estratos show a strong trendin terms of choosing public universities, whereas those from high estratos prefer private universities."

Suggested Citation

  • Andrés Ramírez Hassan, 2009. "Modelos de elección discreta: una aplicación a la demanda por cupos universitarios en Colombia," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 10619, Universidad EAFIT.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:010619
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