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Diferencias regionales del impacto del confinamiento en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Gustavo Adolfo HERNANDEZ-DIAZ
  • Luis Felipe QUINTERO

Abstract

En este trabajo se presentan diferentes simulaciones para encontrar los efectos del confinamiento decretado por el Gobierno Nacional, para disminuir la propagación de contagios por el Covid–19. El análisis se realiza mediante una Matriz Insumo-Producto Regional, construida por la Dirección de Estudios Económicos del DNP, con la cual, mediante una variación del Método de Extracción Hipotética, se observan los efectos sobre producción y empleo. Se encuentra que los efectos sobre la producción alcanzan una caída de 8,2%, lo que conlleva a una disminución del empleo de 3,5 millones de personas. Además, se puede observar como las diferencias regionales, hacen que los efectos sean bastante diversos entre departamentos, así como se analiza los impactos sobre el comercio interdepartamental.

Suggested Citation

  • Gustavo Adolfo HERNANDEZ-DIAZ & Luis Felipe QUINTERO, 2020. "Diferencias regionales del impacto del confinamiento en Colombia," Archivos de Economía 18428, Departamento Nacional de Planeación.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000118:018428
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covid–19; Economía regional; Matrices insumo–producto; Métodos de extracción hipotética.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity

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