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Conveniencia de una regla fiscal de balance estructural para Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Hugo López
  • Remberto Rhenals
  • Jesús Botero
  • Christian Posso

Abstract

Este artículo se ocupa de la conveniencia de una regla fiscal de balance estructural paraColombia. En primer lugar (sección A) se examina el papel y la racionalidad de las reglasfiscales y se estudia el tema de su diseño. La sección (B) está dedicada al examen de laregla fiscal Chilena y sus impactos macroeconómicos. En la sección (C) se hace unarevisión sucinta de las tendencias de largo plazo del gasto público en Colombia, de sudesempeño reciente y sus principales inflexibilidades y se examinan las recomendacionesque, en materia institucional, hizo recientemente la Comisión Independiente del Gastopúblico. Usando un modelo de equilibrio general, la sección (D) realiza una simulación delos impactos que -en el evento de una crisis futura- una regla fiscal tendría sobre elcrecimiento, el empleo y la pobreza. En fin la sección (E) se ocupa de los problemas dediseño y, de manera muy preliminar, de los pasos institucionales necesarios para la puestaen marcha de una regla fiscal de balance estructural en el país.

Suggested Citation

  • Hugo López & Remberto Rhenals & Jesús Botero & Christian Posso, 2008. "Conveniencia de una regla fiscal de balance estructural para Colombia," Borradores de Economia 4578, Banco de la Republica.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:004578
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    Cited by:

    1. Ramiro Rodríguez Revilla, 2011. "Modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos y estocásticos para Colombia 1995-2011," Revista Ecos de Economía, Universidad EAFIT, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Reglas fiscales; Gasto público; Déficit; Equilibrio general computable; Crecimiento y empleo.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H61 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Budget; Budget Systems
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • O23 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Development Planning and Policy - - - Fiscal and Monetary Policy in Development

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