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Clusters en cultivos ilícitos: determinantes y dinámicas

Author

Listed:
  • José Alberto Guerra
  • Julián David Parada
  • Juan Pablo García

Abstract

Los datos recientes de áreas de cultivos ilícitos indican que a pesar de las fumigaciones, la producción total se ha reducido levemente y los cultivos se han dispersado. Se plantea un modelo teórico que analiza las decisiones tomadas por los cultivadores sobre la localización de sus parcelas, basando esta escogencia en la minimización local de los costos esperados. Se utiliza un modelo de agentes para la simulación de la naturaleza compleja de las dinámicas estudiadas. Se encuentra que el incentivo para agruparse aumenta con las economías a escala y se reduce con la expectativa del castigo, sobretodo en zonas con alta densidad de cultivadores.

Suggested Citation

  • José Alberto Guerra & Julián David Parada & Juan Pablo García, 2007. "Clusters en cultivos ilícitos: determinantes y dinámicas," Documentos de Trabajo 4364, Universidad del Rosario.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000092:004364
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    File URL: http://repository.urosario.edu.co/bitstream/handle/10336/10998/4364.pdf
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    JEL classification:

    • K42 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - Illegal Behavior and the Enforcement of Law
    • H56 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - National Security and War
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

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