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Paz y PIB

Author

Listed:
  • Marc Hofstetter

Abstract

Parece haber consenso alrededor de los dividendos de la paz en términos del impacto de ésta en el PIB: la tasa de crecimiento de la economía saltará entre 1 y 2 puntos porcentuales, por siempre. En este ensayo argumento que de haber efectos en la actividad económica agregada atribuibles al fin del conflicto, difícilmente serían de ese tamano y que sin lugar a dudas no durarían por siempre. Así, habiendo una larga lista de razones que harían del fin del conflicto una gran noticia para Colombia, su impacto sobre el PIB futuro no es una de ellas.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Hofstetter, 2016. "Paz y PIB," Documentos CEDE 14632, Universidad de los Andes, Facultad de Economía, CEDE.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000089:014632
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    File URL: https://repositorio.uniandes.edu.co/bitstream/handle/1992/8655/dcede2016-19.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crecimiento Económico; Conflicto Armado; Paz; Colombia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • D47 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Market Design
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products
    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology

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