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Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

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  • Manuel Balmaseda
  • R. Anton Braun
  • Elena Nieto

Abstract

This paper proposes and implements a strategy for identifying and estimating the monetary feedback rule used by the Bank of Spain in the period from 1988 to 1996. We present evidence that the estimated feedback rule is plausible and use it to measure the response of the term structure of interest rates to innovations in monetary policy. We find that innovations in monetary policy produce significant, persistent effects on nominal interest rates at all maturities. In particular, a 100 basis point increase in the Spanish intervention rate raises the 5 year rate for a period of 7 months and produces a maximal response of 55 basis points.

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Balmaseda & R. Anton Braun & Elena Nieto, 1997. "Monetary Policy and the Term Structure of Interest Rates," Working Papers wp1997_9720, CEMFI.
    • Handle: RePEc:cmf:wpaper:wp1997_9720
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lucas, Robert E, Jr & Stokey, Nancy L, 1987. "Money and Interest in a Cash-in-Advance Economy," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(3), pages 491-513, May.
    2. Estrella, Arturo & Mishkin, Frederic S., 1997. "The predictive power of the term structure of interest rates in Europe and the United States: Implications for the European Central Bank," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(7), pages 1375-1401, July.
    3. Gordon, David B & Leeper, Eric M, 1994. "The Dynamic Impacts of Monetary Policy: An Exercise in Tentative Identification," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 102(6), pages 1228-1247, December.
    4. Fuerst, Timothy S., 1992. "Liquidity, loanable funds, and real activity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 3-24, February.
    5. Strongin, Steven, 1995. "The identification of monetary policy disturbances explaining the liquidity puzzle," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 463-497, June.
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