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Automated Fact-Checking of Climate Change Claims with Large Language Models

Author

Listed:
  • Markus Leippold

    (University of Zurich; Swiss Finance Institute)

  • Saeid Vaghefi

    (University of Zurich)

  • Veruska Muccione

    (University of Zurich - Department of Geography; University of Geneva - Institute for Environmental Sciences)

  • Julia Bingler

    (University of Oxford)

  • Dominik Stammbach

    (ETH Zürich)

  • Chiara Colesanti Senni

    (University of Zurich - Department of Finance)

  • Jingwei Ni

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Tobias Wekhof

    (ETH Zürich - CER-ETH - Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich)

  • Tingyu Yu

    (University of Zurich - Department Finance)

  • Tobias Schimanski

    (University of Zurich)

  • Glen Gostlow

    (University of Zurich - Department Finance)

  • Jürg Luterbacher

    (World Health Organization (WHO) - World Health Organization, Geneva)

  • Christian Huggel

    (University of Zurich)

Abstract

This paper presents Climinator, a novel AI-based tool designed to automate the fact-checking of climate change claims. Utilizing an array of Large Language Models (LLMs) informed by authoritative sources like the IPCC reports and peer-reviewed scientific literature, Climinator employs an innovative Mediator-Advocate framework. This design allows Climinator to effectively synthesize varying scientific perspectives, leading to robust, evidence-based evaluations. Our model demonstrates remarkable accuracy when testing claims collected from Climate Feedback and Skeptical Science. Notably, when integrating an advocate with a climate science denial perspective in our framework, Climinator's iterative debate process reliably converges towards scientific consensus, underscoring its adeptness at reconciling diverse viewpoints into science-based, factual conclusions. While our research is subject to certain limitations and necessitates careful interpretation, our approach holds significant potential. We hope to stimulate further research and encourage exploring its applicability in other contexts, including political fact-checking and legal domains.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Leippold & Saeid Vaghefi & Veruska Muccione & Julia Bingler & Dominik Stammbach & Chiara Colesanti Senni & Jingwei Ni & Tobias Wekhof & Tingyu Yu & Tobias Schimanski & Glen Gostlow & Jürg Luter, 2024. "Automated Fact-Checking of Climate Change Claims with Large Language Models," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 24-93, Swiss Finance Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp2493
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