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COVID-19 and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns: Impact and Transmission

Author

Listed:
  • Lorenzo Bretscher

    (University of Lausanne and Swiss Finance Institute)

  • Alex Hsu

    (Georgia Institute of Technology - Scheller College of Business)

  • Peter Simasek

    (Georgia Institute of Technology - Scheller College of Business)

  • Andrea Tamoni

    (Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey - Rutgers Business School at Newark & New Brunswick)

Abstract

Using the first reported case of COVID-19 in a given US county as the event day, firms headquartered in an affected county experience an average 27 bps lower return in the 10-day post-event. This negative effect nearly doubles in magnitude for firms in counties with a higher infection rate (-50 bps). We test a number of transmission channels. Firms belonging to labor intensive industries and residing in counties with large mobility decline have worse stock performance. Firms sensitive to COVID-19 induced uncertainty also exhibit more negative returns. Finally, firms associated with downward earnings forecast revisions are more impacted.

Suggested Citation

  • Lorenzo Bretscher & Alex Hsu & Peter Simasek & Andrea Tamoni, 2021. "COVID-19 and the Cross-Section of Equity Returns: Impact and Transmission," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 21-05, Swiss Finance Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp2105
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    File URL: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3588418
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    Cited by:

    1. Pedro M. Nogueira Reis, 2022. "Determinants of Qualified Investor Sentiment during the COVID-19 Pandemic in North America, Asia, and Europe," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-20, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19; Equity Returns; Labor Supply; Uncertainty; Earnings Forecast;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • E6 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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