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Unspanned Stochastic Volatility in the Multi-Factor CIR Model

Author

Listed:
  • Damir Filipović

    (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne and Swiss Finance Institute)

  • Martin Larsson

    (ETH Zurich)

  • Francesco Statti

    (Ecole Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne)

Abstract

Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While Collin-Dufresne and Goldstein (2002) showed that no two-factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) model can exhibit USV, it has been unknown to date whether CIR models with more than two factors can exhibit USV or not. We formally review USV and relate it to bond market incompleteness. We provide necessary and sufficient conditions for a multi-factor CIR model to exhibit USV. We then construct a class of three-factor CIR models that exhibit USV. This answers in the affirmative the above previously open question. We also show that multi-factor CIR models with diagonal drift matrix cannot exhibit USV.

Suggested Citation

  • Damir Filipović & Martin Larsson & Francesco Statti, 2017. "Unspanned Stochastic Volatility in the Multi-Factor CIR Model," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 17-16, Swiss Finance Institute, revised Apr 2018.
  • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp1716
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    multi-factor Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model; unspanned stochastic volatility; incomplete bond markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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