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Risk Factors of European Non-Listed Real Estate Fund Returns

Author

Listed:
  • Jean-Christophe Delfim

    (University of Geneva)

  • Martin Hoesli

    (University of Geneva - Geneva School of Economics and Management (GSEM); University of Aberdeen - Business School; Swiss Finance Institute; University of Geneva - Geneva Finance Research Institute)

Abstract

This research contributes to a better assessment of risk factors impacting non-listed real estate fund returns. Both macroeconomic and fund-specific factors are considered, additionally taking into account the phase of the real estate cycle. Using a rich database of fund-level data for Europe, we apply panel regression techniques with random effects. Our results highlight the significant impacts of real GDP growth, interest rates, inflation components, money supply and stock market returns in explaining non-listed fund returns. Size, gearing, investment style, vehicle structure and vintage also affect returns, whereas property type does not appear to matter. For comparison purposes, the same analysis is performed for listed and direct real estate. The three kinds of real estate exposure are found to react broadly in the same way to macroeconomic risk factors although our analyses suggest that non-listed real estate is more akin to direct real estate than it is to securitized real estate.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Christophe Delfim & Martin Hoesli, 2016. "Risk Factors of European Non-Listed Real Estate Fund Returns," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 16-37, Swiss Finance Institute.
    • Handle: RePEc:chf:rpseri:rp1637
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    File URL: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2793855
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    Cited by:

    1. Maiia Sleptcova & Heidi Falkenbach, 2021. "Managerial Skill and European PERE Fund Performance," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 665-690, May.
    2. Fuerst, Franz & Mansley, Nick & Wang, Zilong, 2021. "Do specialist funds outperform? Evidence from European non-listed real estate funds," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    3. Mansley, Nick & Tse, Tiffany Ching Man & Wang, Zilong, 2020. "Risk classification of Asian real estate funds and their performance," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    4. Martin Hoesli & Graeme Newell & Muhammad Jufri Bin Marzuki & Rose Neng Lai, 2022. "The Performance and Diversification Potential of Non-Listed Value-Add Real Estate Funds in Japan," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 15(5), pages 1-16, April.
    5. Graeme Newell, 2021. "Future research opportunities for Asian real estate," International Journal of Urban Sciences, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(2), pages 272-290, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-listed real estate; real estate funds; risk factors; macroeconomy; European markets.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R33 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Nonagricultural and Nonresidential Real Estate Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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