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The Often Overlooked “Pull” Factor: Border Crossings and Labor Market Tightness in the US

Author

Listed:
  • Dany Bahar

    (Brown University
    Harvard Growth Lab
    Center for Global Development)

Abstract

This study investigates the link between Southwest US border crossings and labor market tightness, measured by the job openings to unemployed ratio, over nearly 25 years (2000–2023). Analyzing monthly data, it finds a strong positive correlation, suggesting that increased border crossings align with greater job availability. Exploiting data across different presidential administrations reveals no statistically significant differences in this relationship, regardless of the President’s party. The findings suggest a natural economic adjustment mechanism in which crossings naturally decrease as the labor market cools.

Suggested Citation

  • Dany Bahar, 2024. "The Often Overlooked “Pull” Factor: Border Crossings and Labor Market Tightness in the US," Working Papers 695, Center for Global Development.
    • Handle: RePEc:cgd:wpaper:695
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    Keywords

    migration; border crossings; labor market tightness;
    All these keywords.

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