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The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK's Relationship with the European Union

Author

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  • John Ryan

Abstract

This paper examines the shortcomings in the UK government’s Brexit negotiation strategy which reflected Prime Minister Theresa May’s weak political leadership. The Prime Minister focused on securing the short-term political survival of her government amidst turbulent and fractious domestic politics, over negotiations with the EU27. Brexit negotiations were poorly planned and the government was woefully unprepared. Brexit also threatens a serious re-opening of old wounds in Northern Ireland, as debate grows around the prospect of a united Ireland inside the EU. UK politics is in turmoil and in a chronic crisis. What route the Brexit saga takes next is uncertain. But the crossroads is approaching – either the UK leaves on 31 October 2019 with no deal or it finds a route towards an accommodation with the EU. The phenomenon of British exceptionalism towards the EU is set to take a new dramatic turn, while the UK’s chaotic political divisions will not disappear any time soon.

Suggested Citation

  • John Ryan, 2019. "The Brexit Conundrum Worsens the UK's Relationship with the European Union," CESifo Working Paper Series 7803, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7803
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp7803.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Brexit; withdrawal agreement; European Union; United Kingdom Republic of Ireland;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
    • F50 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - General
    • F51 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - International Conflicts; Negotiations; Sanctions

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