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Recent Trade Dynamics in Asia: Examples from Specific Industries

Author

Listed:
  • Marc Auboin
  • Floriana Borino

Abstract

This paper looks at the extent to which the shift in the lower value added production to countries in the following development “tier” is actually becoming a reality. Several countries in East Asia have been upgrading production patterns and moving up the value chain, this paper looks at how this helps and offers new opportunities to less advanced countries to integrate in world trade. The paper uses a combination of techniques, from an analysis of disaggregated trade flows by country and sectors, to the calculation of trade intensity indices by country and sector, and value-added trade by sector. It finds combined evidence of forward and backward trade increasing between several neighbouring Asian economies and China, in the most labour-intensive industries in particular. Econometric analysis shows that relative unit labour costs are an explanatory factor of increased trade links. In cases, the intensification of trade links on the export side can relate to a strongly expanding local market (for example India for electronic products such as smartphones), but mostly the intensification of trade links takes place both on the import and export sides with markets which are much smaller than China (Vietnam, Bangladesh, etc.), and which experienced increased outward-processing activities as a result of China's production upgrade.

Suggested Citation

  • Marc Auboin & Floriana Borino, 2018. "Recent Trade Dynamics in Asia: Examples from Specific Industries," CESifo Working Paper Series 7194, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_7194
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    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp7194.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    investment; trade policy; business cycles;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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