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The Lifecycle of Protests in the Digital Age

Author

Listed:
  • Pierre C. Boyer
  • Germain Gauthier
  • Yves Le Yaouanq
  • Vincent Rollet
  • Benoît Schmutz-Bloch

Abstract

We propose a theory of protest dynamics with heterogeneous protest technology and intensity. The ability to mobilize online reduces the likelihood of coordination failures at both the extensive (engagement) and intensive (violence) margins. Social media can initially help launch massive protests, but then encourage radical factions to turn violent and drive out moderates. Using both online and offline data, we show that the 2018 Yellow Vest uprising in France followed such a crowd-in-then-crowd-out sequence: early online and offline mobilizations reinforced each other, but online discussions quickly radicalized, moderates left, and a handful of violent protesters took over the streets.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre C. Boyer & Germain Gauthier & Yves Le Yaouanq & Vincent Rollet & Benoît Schmutz-Bloch, 2024. "The Lifecycle of Protests in the Digital Age," CESifo Working Paper Series 11257, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_11257
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    protests; learning traps; crowding-out; violence; social media; NLP;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • L82 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Entertainment; Media
    • Z13 - Other Special Topics - - Cultural Economics - - - Economic Sociology; Economic Anthropology; Language; Social and Economic Stratification

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