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Slowing UK Wage Growth

Author

Listed:
  • David Blanchflower
  • Stephen Machin

Abstract

We have previously examined the path of nominal and real wages in the UK (Blanchflower and Machin, 2014a, 2014b, 2014c). In that work, we expressed the view that in recent years there has been sufficient slack in the labour market to mean there has been little prospect of significant growth in nominal wages. The latest data continue to support that conclusion. After a short-lived upwards blip last year, there is no evidence that nominal wage growth is picking up as it continues to grow at or around 2%, even though the unemployment rate is approaching 5%. Following what seems to be a temporary boost to wage growth due to the fall in unemployment, wage growth has subsequently weakened and turned back down again.

Suggested Citation

  • David Blanchflower & Stephen Machin, 2016. "Slowing UK Wage Growth," CEP Real Wages Updates 004, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    • Handle: RePEc:cep:ceprwu:004
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    File URL: https://cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/download/rwu004.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Blanchflower & Stephen Machin, 2014. "Falling real wages," CentrePiece - The magazine for economic performance 422, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
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    1. David N. F. Bell & David G. Blanchflower, 2014. "Labor Market Slack in the United Kingdom," Working Paper Series WP14-2, Peterson Institute for International Economics.

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