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US-China Competition in Defense Technological and Industrial Development: Implications for the Balance of Power Over the Long Term

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  • MONTGOMERY, Evan Braden

Abstract

T he United States and China are engaged in an intensifying struggle for relative power, geopolitical influence, and positional advantage within East Asia and beyond. The military dimension of this bilateral competition has focused on the effectiveness of US conventional force projection capabilitiesversus the effectiveness of Chinese conventional anti-access and area denial (A2/AD) capabilities. As the back-and-forth between the rivals continues to evolve, emerging technologies such as those associated with the US Third Offset Strategy could significantly change the dynamics. It is difficult, however, to predict which side will gain and which will lose. The brief presents key factors to consider when assessing the long-term effects of these new technologies.

Suggested Citation

  • MONTGOMERY, Evan Braden, 2017. "US-China Competition in Defense Technological and Industrial Development: Implications for the Balance of Power Over the Long Term," Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, Working Paper Series qt3nx3n18x, Institute on Global Conflict and Cooperation, University of California.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:globco:qt3nx3n18x
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    Keywords

    Social and Behavioral Sciences; China; United States; military technology; strategic competition; emerging technologies;
    All these keywords.

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