IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/cdl/agrebk/qt6hx45616.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Analyzing the Impact of Beach Closures, Intersite Substitution and Intertemporal Substitution Via a Model of Attendance at Five Orange County Beaches

Author

Listed:
  • Busch, Christopher B.
  • Hanemann, W. Michael

Abstract

This paper explores the impact on beach attendance of beach closures and the intersite and intertemporal substitution that may follow beach closures. A model of beach attendance is developed that builds on a model constructed by Paul Ruud to support the State of California's claim to damages after the American Trader oil spill off the coast of Orange County, southern California. Newly gathered data on beach closures is combined with data on daily attendance from 1985-1993. Variables are constructed to test for intersite substitution (the shifting of beach recreation in space, i.e. from a closed beach to another beach) and intertemporal substitution (the shifting of demand for recreation at a particular beach over time). The method of non-linear least squares is used to estimate a system of five seemingly unrelated regression equations. For each equation, Breush-Pagan tests for heteroskedasticity fail to reject the null hypothesis of homoscedasticity and modified Breush-Godfrey tests for autocorrelation fail to reject the null hypothesis of no autocorrelation. The analysis produces only weak evidence to support rejection of null hypotheses that there are no effects due to beach closures, intertemporal substitution, or intersite substitution. For example, just two of six coefficients on closure variables are statistically significant. The lack of stronger evidence of casual effects likely reflects at least in part the fact that (1) the attendance data that form the foundation for analysis only extend from December to March and (2) people can still visit the beach when it is "closed" since the closures considered here pertain only to water contact. Such closures will likely have a greater effect during summer when air and water temperatures are higher and more people will want to engage in water-based recreation.

Suggested Citation

  • Busch, Christopher B. & Hanemann, W. Michael, 2001. "Analyzing the Impact of Beach Closures, Intersite Substitution and Intertemporal Substitution Via a Model of Attendance at Five Orange County Beaches," Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley, Working Paper Series qt6hx45616, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, UC Berkeley.
  • Handle: RePEc:cdl:agrebk:qt6hx45616
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/6hx45616.pdf;origin=repeccitec
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cdl:agrebk:qt6hx45616. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Lisa Schiff (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/dabrkus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.