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The Impact of Brexit on the British Pound/Euro Exchange rate

Author

Listed:
  • Arthur Korus

    (Europäisches Institut für Internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen (EIIW))

  • Kaan Celebi

    (Frankfurt University of Applied Sciences)

Abstract

Using event-study techniques we investigate the impact of Brexit-related events on the spot exchange rate of the British pound against the euro. We want to find out whether Brexit-related news, including the Brexit referendum itself, has an impact on the Pound sterling/Euro exchange rate. By splitting our Brexit-related events into 'good' Brexit news and 'bad' Brexit news, we find an impact of Brexit news on the British pound/Euro exchange rate. Bad Brexit news is associated with a depreciation of the British pound against the euro whereas 'good' Brexit news appreciates the Pound sterling against the euro. Furthermore, our empirical results suggest that market participants display a delayed reaction to bad and good Brexit news, respectively. Additionally, it seems that the impact of bad Brexit news on the spot exchange rate of the British pound against the euro is more persistent than the effect of good Brexit news.

Suggested Citation

  • Arthur Korus & Kaan Celebi, 2018. "The Impact of Brexit on the British Pound/Euro Exchange rate," EIIW Discussion paper disbei243, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.
    • Handle: RePEc:bwu:eiiwdp:disbei243
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    File URL: https://eiiw.wiwi.uni-wuppertal.de/fileadmin/eiiw/Daten/Publikationen/Gelbe_Reihe/disbei243.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Paul J. J. Welfens, 2020. "Trump’s Trade Policy, BREXIT, Corona Dynamics, EU Crisis and Declining Multilateralism," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 17(3), pages 563-634, July.
    2. Paolo Manasse & Graziano Moramarco & Giulio Trigilia, 2024. "Exchange rates and political uncertainty: the Brexit case," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(362), pages 621-652, April.
    3. Samir Kadiric & Arthur Korus, 2019. "The effects of Brexit on credit spreads: Evidence from UK and Eurozone corporate bond markets," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 65-102, March.
    4. Paul J. J. Welfens & Tian Xiong, 2019. "BREXIT perspectives: financial market dynamics, welfare aspects and problems from slower growth," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 215-265, March.
    5. Pilbeam Keith, 2019. "Brexit and its Impact on the Pound in the Foreign Exchange Market," The Economists' Voice, De Gruyter, vol. 16(1), pages 1-5, December.
    6. Samir Kadiric & Arthur Korus, 2018. "Effects of Brexit on Corporate Yield Spreads: Evidence from UK and Eurozone Corporate Bond Markets," EIIW Discussion paper disbei251, Universitätsbibliothek Wuppertal, University Library.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    spot exchange rate; Brexit; event-study;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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