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Low long-term rates- bond bubble or symptom of secular stagnation?

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  • Grégory Claeys

Abstract

Yields on European sovereign bonds have reached historically low levels in 2016. The goals of this paper are to understand why interest rates are currently so low and to determine if this level is justified by fundamental factors, or if rates are artificially low because of unconventional monetary policies. The decline in yields over the last 30 years is the result of various factors- the fall in inflation, lower risk...

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  • Grégory Claeys, 2016. "Low long-term rates- bond bubble or symptom of secular stagnation?," Policy Contributions 16625, Bruegel.
    • Handle: RePEc:bre:polcon:16625
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Paul De Grauwe, 2013. "The European Central Bank as Lender of Last Resort in the Government Bond Markets," CESifo Economic Studies, CESifo Group, vol. 59(3), pages 520-535, September.
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    Cited by:

    1. Alberto Botta & Ben Tippet, 2020. "Secular stagnation and core-periphery uneven development in post-crisis eurozone," Working Papers PKWP2002, Post Keynesian Economics Society (PKES).
    2. Maria Demertzis & Guntram B. Wolff, 2016. "What impact does the ECB’s quantitative easing policy have on bank profitability?," Policy Contributions 17913, Bruegel.
    3. Mariarosaria Comunale & Jonas Striaukas, 2017. "Unconventional Monetary Policy: Interest Rates and Low Inflation. A Review of Literature and Methods," Bank of Lithuania Occasional Paper Series 13, Bank of Lithuania.
    4. Botta, Alberto & Tippet, Ben, 2020. "The roots of a divided eurozone: rigid labour markets or asymmetric technology-macroeconomic regimes?," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 30958, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    5. Schmelzing, Paul, 2017. "Staff Working Paper No. 686: Eight centuries of the risk-free rate: bond market reversals from the Venetians to the ‘VaR shock’," Bank of England working papers 686, Bank of England.

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