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Análisis dinámico del desempleo en Bolivia mediante la Encuesta Continua de Empleo (ECE)

Author

Listed:
  • Angélica Calle Sarmiento

    (Banco Central de Bolivia)

Abstract

Este documento analiza el flujo de trabajadores entre estados de empleo (movilidad laboral) en Bolivia. La información utilizada corresponde a la Encuesta Continua de Empleo para tres oleadas de paneles, entre el 4T2015 y el 3T2018. Utilizando procesos de cadenas de Markov se estimaron matrices de probabilidades de transición para determinar la probabilidad de que los trabajadores cambien de estado de “trabaja” a “no trabaja” o viceversa además de las probabilidades de transición según categoría ocupacional. Complementariamente, se efectúa una evaluación de las transiciones entre diferentes actividades económicas. Se observó que el sector informal continúa siendo importante y que los desempleados se inclinan por participar en este sector. Asimismo, se observó una creciente participación laboral en el comercio y transporte, sectores con un elevado componente informal, lo cual respalda este resultado.

Suggested Citation

  • Angélica Calle Sarmiento, 2019. "Análisis dinámico del desempleo en Bolivia mediante la Encuesta Continua de Empleo (ECE)," Serie de Documentos de Trabajo 2019/09, Banco Central de Bolivia.
    • Handle: RePEc:blv:doctra:2019/09
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    File URL: https://www.bcb.gob.bo/webdocs/publicacionesbcb/2021/05/00/42%20-%20An%C3%A1lisis%20din%C3%A1mico%20del%20desempleo%20en%20Bolivia%20mediante%20la%20Encuesta%20Continua%20de%20Empleo%20%28ECE%29.pdf
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    File URL: https://www.bcb.gob.bo/?q=pub_documentos-trabajo
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Cadenas de Markov; matriz de transición; Encuesta Continua de Empleo;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand
    • J40 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - General
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • O55 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Africa

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