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Manufacturing sector resiliency to energy booms: Empirical evidence from Norway, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom

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  • Michael M Hutchison

    (University of California, Santa Cruz - Department of Economics)

Abstract

A natural resource based export boom can increase overall national wealth and improve a country's balance of payments position, but leave some sectors in a protracted and costly adjustment process. This phenomenon is known as "Dutch disease", a term associated with the difficulties experienced by the Dutch manufacturing sector after the natural gas boom, hike in world energy prices and expansion of the gas-revenue financed government sector expansion in the Netherlands. This paper reviews the theoretical predictions of a country experiencing a resource boom. It then briefly describes the country experiences of the Netherlands, Norway and the United Kingdom in this regard and finally develops a methodology for a more formal statistical analysis designed to shed light on the relationships between the energy sector and manufacturers in these countries, as well as to identify other potential explanatory factors.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael M Hutchison, 1990. "Manufacturing sector resiliency to energy booms: Empirical evidence from Norway, the Netherlands and the United Kingdom," BIS Working Papers 13, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:13
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    Cited by:

    1. Obadia Kyetuza Bishoge & Benatus Norbert Mvile, 2020. "The “resource curse” from the oil and natural gas sector: how can Tanzania avoid it in reality?," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 33(3), pages 389-404, October.
    2. Maslyuk, Svetlana & Smyth, Russell, 2009. "Non-linear unit root properties of crude oil production," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(1), pages 109-118, January.
    3. Francesco Guidi, 2010. "The Economic Effects of Oil Prices Shocks on the UK Manufacturing and Services Sectors," The IUP Journal of Applied Economics, IUP Publications, vol. 0(4), pages 5-34, October.
    4. Knobel, Alexander, 2013. "The risks of fiscal policy in countries rich in natural resources," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, pages 29-38, October.
    5. Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif A. Thorsrud, 2016. "Boom or Gloom? Examining the Dutch Disease in Two‐speed Economies," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 126(598), pages 2219-2256, December.
    6. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Senesouphap, Chanthachonh & Yawdhacksa, Somnack, 2012. "Resource Boom, Growth and Poverty in Laos: what can we learn from other countries and policy simulations?," PEP Policy Briefs 161661, Partnership for Economic Policy (PEP).
    7. Sergei Guriev & Alexander Plekhanov & Konstantin Sonin, 2009. "Development Based on Commodity Revenues?," Working Papers hal-03461797, HAL.
    8. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry‐Mckibbin & Vladimir Volkov, 2020. "Transmission of a Resource Boom: The Case of Australia," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 82(3), pages 503-525, June.
    9. Rachel Ann Mulhall & John R. Bryson, 2013. "The Energy Hot Potato and Governance of Value Chains: Power, Risk, and Organizational Adjustment in Intermediate Manufacturing Firms," Economic Geography, Clark University, vol. 89(4), pages 395-419, October.
    10. Hilde C. Bjørnland & Leif Anders Thorsrud, 2013. "Boom or gloom? Examining the Dutch disease in a two-speed economy," Working Papers No 6/2013, Centre for Applied Macro- and Petroleum economics (CAMP), BI Norwegian Business School.
    11. Gil-Alana, Luis A. & Dadgar, Yadollah & Nazari, Rouhollah, 2020. "An analysis of the OPEC and non-OPEC position in the World Oil Market: A fractionally integrated approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 541(C).
    12. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-492 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. repec:hal:spmain:info:hdl:2441/106i379teb8moplr2gknsi2nfd is not listed on IDEAS
    14. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/106i379teb8moplr2gknsi2nfd is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Larsen, E.Roed., 2005. "Are rich countries immune to the resource curse? Evidence from Norway's management of its oil riches," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 75-86, June.
    16. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Norway: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2005/197, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Sandrine Kablan & Josef Loening & Yasuhiro Tanaka, 2014. "Is Chad Affected by Dutch or Nigerian Disease?," Journal of Empirical Economics, Research Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 3(5), pages 278-295.
    18. Alexander Bass, 2018. "Is Groningen Effect Still Present in Russia: A Vector Error Correction Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(5), pages 273-280.
    19. Niftiyev, Ibrahim, 2020. "Descriptive Analysis of Employment In Azerbaijan: Possibilities of the Dutch Disease," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 77(1), pages 100-112.
    20. Erling Røed Larsen, 2006. "Escaping the Resource Curse and the Dutch Disease?," American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65(3), pages 605-640, July.
    21. Ivanova, Galina, 2014. "The mining industry in Queensland, Australia: Some regional development issues," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 101-114.
    22. Grant Mark Nülle & Graham A. Davis, 2018. "Neither Dutch nor disease?—natural resource booms in theory and empirics," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 31(1), pages 35-59, May.
    23. Raju, Sudhakar S. & Melo, Alberto, 2003. "Money, real output, and deficit effects of coffee booms in Colombia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 25(9), pages 963-983, December.
    24. Jan Morten Dyrstad, 2015. "Resource curse avoidance: Governmental intervention and wage formation in the Norwegian petroleum sector," Working Paper Series 16715, Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology.
    25. Marina V. Vasiljeva & Vadim V. Ponkratov & Larisa A. Vatutina & Maria V. Volkova & Marina I. Ivleva & Elena V. Romanenko & Nikolay V. Kuznetsov & Nadezhda N. Semenova & Elena F. Kireeva & Dmitrii K. G, 2022. "Crude Oil Market Functioning and Sustainable Development Goals: Case of OPEC++-Participating Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-23, April.

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