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CB-LMs: language models for central banking

Author

Listed:
  • Leonardo Gambacorta
  • Byeungchun Kwon
  • Taejin Park
  • Pietro Patelli
  • Sonya Zhu

Abstract

We introduce central bank language models (CB-LMs) - specialised encoder-only language models retrained on a comprehensive corpus of central bank speeches, policy documents and research papers. We show that CB-LMs outperform their foundational models in predicting masked words in central bank idioms. Some CB-LMs not only outperform their foundational models, but also surpass state-of-the-art generative Large Language Models (LLMs) in classifying monetary policy stance from Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statements. In more complex scenarios, requiring sentiment classification of extensive news related to the US monetary policy, we find that the largest LLMs outperform the domain-adapted encoder-only models. However, deploying such large LLMs presents substantial challenges for central banks in terms of confidentiality, transparency, replicability and cost-efficiency.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonardo Gambacorta & Byeungchun Kwon & Taejin Park & Pietro Patelli & Sonya Zhu, "undated". "CB-LMs: language models for central banking," BIS Working Papers 1215, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:1215
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    large language models; gen AI; central banks; monetary policy analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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