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Factors Influencing Relative Price of Goods and Services Sectors in Turkey : An Econometric Analysis

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  • Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan
  • Koray Kalafatcilar

Abstract

Upon difficulties faced by the Central Bank of Turkey (CBT) in attaining inflation targets, diverging movements in goods and services sectors prices, two components of the CPI basket, have drawn particular attention. However, studies on this issue have remained rather limited in developing as well as advanced countries. The present study is an attempt, despite limited availability of studies in the relevant literature and scant data relating to the sector of services, to clarify the issue by a VEC model. Relative price movements were explained by economic factors including inter-sectoral productivity differences, transmission from exchange rate, exposure to global competition and higher income elasticity of services sector. Our empirical study concluded that there is a long-term relationship between relative price series and economic factors recognized in literature. It was found that exchange rate and differences in productivity levels have significant share in accounting for relative price movements.
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Suggested Citation

  • Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan & Koray Kalafatcilar, 2009. "Factors Influencing Relative Price of Goods and Services Sectors in Turkey : An Econometric Analysis," Working Papers 0901, Department of Economics, Bilkent University.
    • Handle: RePEc:bil:wpaper:0901
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    File URL: http://www.bilkent.edu.tr/~economics/papers/09-01%20DP_KivilcimMetin-Ozcan.doc
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    Cited by:

    1. Elena Deryugina & Natalia Karlova & Alexey Ponomarenko & Anna Tsvetkova, 2019. "The role of regional and sectoral factors in Russian inflation developments," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 52(4), pages 453-474, November.
    2. Yilmaz Akdi & Koray Kalafatcilar & Kivilcim Metin-Ozcan, 2010. "Application of Periodogram-Based Cointegration Test for the Analysis of the Services and Goods Sector Inflations," International Econometric Review (IER), Econometric Research Association, vol. 2(1), pages 3-10, April.
    3. Akhmedjonov, Alisher & Lau, Chi Keung, 2012. "Do energy prices converge across Russian regions?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1623-1631.
    4. Murat Üngör, 2016. "Did the rising importance of services decelerate overall productivity improvement of Turkey during 2002–2007?," Journal of Economic Policy Reform, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(3), pages 238-261, July.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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