IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bie/wpaper/562.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

On an optimal extraction problem with regime switching

Author

Listed:
  • Ferrari, Giorgio

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Yang, Shuzhen

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

Abstract

This paper studies an optimal irreversible extraction problem of an exhaustible commodity in presence of regime shifts. A company extracts a natural resource from a reserve with finite capacity, and sells it in the market at a spot price that evolves according to a Brownian motion with volatility modulated by a two state Markov chain. In this setting, the company aims at finding the extraction rule that maximizes its expected, discounted net cash flow. The problem is set up as a finite-fuel two-dimensional degenerate singular stochastic control problem over an infinite time-horizon. We provide explicit expressions both for the value function and for the optimal control. We show that the latter prescribes a Skorokhod reflection of the optimally controlled state process at a certain state and price dependent threshold. This curve is given in terms of the optimal stopping boundary of an auxiliary family of perpetual optimal selling problems with regime switching. The techniques are those of stochastic calculus and stochastic optimal control theory.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrari, Giorgio & Yang, Shuzhen, 2016. "On an optimal extraction problem with regime switching," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 562, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
  • Handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:562
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/download/2904731/2904732
    File Function: First Version, 2016
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Feliz, Raul Anibal, 1993. "The optimal extraction rate of a natural resource under uncertainty," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 231-234.
    2. Sotomayor, Luz R. & Cadenillas, Abel, 2011. "Classical and singular stochastic control for the optimal dividend policy when there is regime switching," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 344-354, May.
    3. Richard R. Lumley & Mihail Zervos, 2001. "A Model for Investments in the Natural Resource Industry with Switching Costs," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 26(4), pages 637-653, November.
    4. Tiziano De Angelis & Giorgio Ferrari & John Moriarty, 2014. "A Non Convex Singular Stochastic Control Problem and its Related Optimal Stopping Boundaries," Papers 1405.2442, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2014.
    5. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    6. Ioannis Karatzas & Fridrik M. Baldursson, 1996. "Irreversible investment and industry equilibrium (*)," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 1(1), pages 69-89.
    7. Abdullah Almansour and Margaret Insley, 2016. "The Impact of Stochastic Extraction Cost on the Value of an Exhaustible Resource: An Application to the Alberta Oil Sands," The Energy Journal, International Association for Energy Economics, vol. 0(Number 2).
    8. Guo, Xin & Miao, Jianjun & Morellec, Erwan, 2005. "Irreversible investment with regime shifts," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 122(1), pages 37-59, May.
    9. Zhengjun Jiang & Martijn Pistorius, 2012. "Optimal dividend distribution under Markov regime switching," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 449-476, July.
    10. Margaret Insley, 2013. "On the timing of non-renewable resource extraction with regime switching prices: an optimal stochastic control approach," Working Papers 1302, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2013.
    11. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Giorgio Ferrari & Shuzhen Yang, 2016. "On an Optimal Extraction Problem with Regime Switching," Papers 1602.06765, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2017.
    2. Insley, Margaret, 2017. "Resource extraction with a carbon tax and regime switching prices: Exercising your options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-16.
    3. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2022. "Optimal dividends under Markov-modulated bankruptcy level," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 146-172.
    4. Jaime Casassus & Pierre Collin-Dufresne & Bryan R. Routledge, 2005. "Equilibrium Commodity Prices with Irreversible Investment and Non-Linear Technology," NBER Working Papers 11864, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. Aïd, René & Basei, Matteo & Ferrari, Giorgio, 2023. "A Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Model of Irreversible Investment in a Two-Regime Economy," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 679, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    6. Francisco Ruiz‐Aliseda & Jianjun Wu, 2012. "Irreversible Investment in Stochastically Cyclical Markets," Journal of Economics & Management Strategy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 801-847, September.
    7. Charles Sims & David Finnoff, 2016. "Opposing Irreversibilities and Tipping Point Uncertainty," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 3(4), pages 985-1022.
    8. Ren'e Aid & Matteo Basei & Giorgio Ferrari, 2023. "A Stationary Mean-Field Equilibrium Model of Irreversible Investment in a Two-Regime Economy," Papers 2305.00541, arXiv.org.
    9. Yu‐Fu Chen & Michael Funke, 2010. "Booms, Recessions And Financial Turmoil: A Fresh Look At Investment Decisions Under Cyclical Uncertainty," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 57(3), pages 290-317, July.
    10. Ferrari, Giorgio & Rodosthenous, Neofytos, 2018. "Optimal Management of Debt-To-GDP Ratio with Regime-Switching Interest Rate," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 589, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    11. Frank Riedel & Xia Su, 2011. "On irreversible investment," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 607-633, December.
    12. Margaret Insley, 2013. "On the timing of non-renewable resource extraction with regime switching prices: an optimal stochastic control approach," Working Papers 1302, University of Waterloo, Department of Economics, revised Aug 2013.
    13. Kurt L. Helmes & Richard H. Stockbridge, 2010. "Thinning and harvesting in stochastic forest models," Post-Print hal-00753039, HAL.
    14. Michele Baggio, 2016. "Optimal Fishery Management with Regime Shifts: An Assessment of Harvesting Strategies," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 64(3), pages 465-492, July.
    15. Baggio, Michele & Perrings, Charles, 2015. "Modeling adaptation in multi-state resource systems," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 378-386.
    16. Korn, Ralf & Melnyk, Yaroslav & Seifried, Frank Thomas, 2017. "Stochastic impulse control with regime-switching dynamics," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 260(3), pages 1024-1042.
    17. Giorgio Ferrari & Patrick Schuhmann & Shihao Zhu, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Papers 2111.03724, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    18. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 657, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    19. Zhengjun Jiang & Martijn Pistorius, 2012. "Optimal dividend distribution under Markov regime switching," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 449-476, July.
    20. Jiang, Zhengjun, 2019. "Optimal dividend policy when risk reserves follow a jump–diffusion process with a completely monotone jump density under Markov-regime switching," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-7.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:562. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bettina Weingarten (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imbiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.