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Echoes and Delays: Time-to-build in Production Networks

Author

Listed:
  • Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel
  • Edouard Schaal

Abstract

We study how time-to-build and delivery lags affect the propagation of sectoral and aggregate shocks in an economy with input-output linkages. Time-to-build signiï¬ cantly contributes to the persistence of shocks, with highly heterogeneous effects across sectors. We analyze delay shocks and demonstrate that bottlenecks can be identiï¬ ed by the product of a sector's supplier and buyer centralities. Shocks propagate asynchronously through the network, generating endogenous fluctuations via an echo effect. These fluctuations arise due to the presence of loops in the network. We show that the Fourier spectrum of sectoral and aggregate output can be predicted from the durations and weights of the network's dominant cycles. Sectoral comovements are complex and can be decomposed into the network's dominant walks.

Suggested Citation

  • Mathieu Taschereau-Dumouchel & Edouard Schaal, 2025. "Echoes and Delays: Time-to-build in Production Networks," Working Papers 1482, Barcelona School of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:bge:wpaper:1482
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Business cycles; endogenous fluctuations; networks; time-to-build;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C67 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Input-Output Models
    • D57 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Input-Output Tables and Analysis
    • D85 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Network Formation
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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