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Evolución geográfica del homicidio en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Andres Sanchez
  • Jabba Ana Maria Diaz
  • Alejandro Pelaez
  • Omar Castelblanco
  • Johanna Tautiva
  • Cristina Gonzalez
  • Laura Angel

Abstract

Aunque en Colombia la tasa de homicidio ha mostrado una tendencia decreciente en los últimos años, esta sigue siendo significativamente alta como resultado de la alta incidencia del delito en algunas regiones colombianas. En este estudio se analiza la evolución de la estructura geográfica del delito de homicidio entre 2003 y 2010. Esto se hace mediante un análisis espacial de la tasa de homicidio municipal, empleando tres enfoques: el primero mira la distribución geográfica de la tasa de homicidio municipal; el segundo establece que dicha distribución no es aleatoria; el tercero identifica formalmente las zonas violentas y pac´ificas del pa´is. Los resultados indican que en Colombia hay una tendencia persistente a la aglomeraci´on de municipios pac´ificos y violentos. Los patrones hallados sugieren que las disputas asociadas al control territorial de áreas estratégicas para la producci´on y tr´afico de narc´oticos constituye uno de los factores que desencadena la violencia y determina su alcance. Espec´ificamente, la con- fluencia de grupos irregulares en dichas zonas genera enfrentamientos que incrementan los niveles de violencia.

Suggested Citation

  • Andres Sanchez & Jabba Ana Maria Diaz & Alejandro Pelaez & Omar Castelblanco & Johanna Tautiva & Cristina Gonzalez & Laura Angel, 2012. "Evolución geográfica del homicidio en Colombia," Documentos de trabajo sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 169, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:region:169
    DOI: 10.32468/dtseru.169
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    Cited by:

    1. Sánchez Jabba, Andrés, 2013. "La reinvención de Medellín," Revista Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, CIE, issue 78, pages 185-227, March.
    2. Andrés Sánchez Jabba, 2013. "La economía del bajo San Jorge," Documentos de Trabajo Sobre Economía Regional y Urbana 11536, Banco de la República, Economía Regional.
    3. Aguilera-Díaz, María Modesta & Meisel-Roca, Adolfo (ed.), 2016. "Economía y medio ambiente del archipiélago de San Andrés, Providencia y Santa Catalina," Books, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, number 2016-07, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    homicidio; Colombia; I de Moran; análisis espacial.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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