IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bdr/borrec/850.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Reestimación del grado de transmisión de la tasa de cambio del peso sobre la inflación de los bienes importados

Author

Listed:
  • Hernán Rincón
  • Norberto Rodríguez

Abstract

Conocer el grado de transmisión de los cambios en la tasa de cambio sobre la inflación interna es un interrogante constante de las autoridades monetarias de cualquier país. En este documento se reestima el grado de transmisión de corto y mediano plazo de las variaciones de la tasa de cambio del peso colombiano sobre la inflación de los bienes importados, estimados en González et al. (2010). Se utilizan datos trimestrales de Colombia para el período 1985-2014 y un modelo VAR no lineal de transición suave logística. Los resultados muestran que los grados de transmisión en general se mantienen, a pesar de la ampliación del período de estudio, que cubre la crisis financiera internacional 2007-2009, y de ajustes a la metodología econométrica implementada. Se concluye que el grado transmisión es incompleto, endógeno y asimétrico, tanto en el corto como en el mediano plazo. Además, que un choque a la variación de la tasa de cambio se transmite a la inflación de los bienes importados en grados que varían entre 12% y 88%.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernán Rincón & Norberto Rodríguez, 2014. "Reestimación del grado de transmisión de la tasa de cambio del peso sobre la inflación de los bienes importados," Borradores de Economia 850, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:850
    DOI: 10.32468/be.850
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.32468/be.850
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.32468/be.850?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Taylor, John B., 2000. "Low inflation, pass-through, and the pricing power of firms," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(7), pages 1389-1408, June.
    2. Lundbergh, Stefan & Terasvirta, Timo & van Dijk, Dick, 2003. "Time-Varying Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 21(1), pages 104-121, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Reginaldo P. Nogueira Junior & Miguel Leon-Ledesma, 2008. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through Into Inflation: The Role of Asymmetries and NonLinearities," Studies in Economics 0801, School of Economics, University of Kent.
    2. Gregor Bäurle & Daniel Kaufmann, 2014. "Exchange rate and price dynamics in a small open economy - the role of the zero lower bound and monetary policy regimes," Working Papers 2014-10, Swiss National Bank.
    3. Muellbauer, John & Sinclair, Peter & Aron, Janine & Farrell, Greg, 2010. "Exchange Rate Pass-through and Monetary Policy in South Africa," CEPR Discussion Papers 8153, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    4. Sarah Arndt & Zeno Enders, 2023. "The Transmission of Supply Shocks in Different Inflation Regimes," CESifo Working Paper Series 10839, CESifo.
    5. N/A, 2007. "Real Convergence, Price Level Convergence and Inflation in Europe," Bruegel Working Papers 267, Bruegel.
    6. Hyeongwoo Kim & Ying Lin, 2018. "Exchange Rate Pass-Through to Consumer Prices and the Role of Energy Prices," Auburn Economics Working Paper Series auwp2018-05, Department of Economics, Auburn University.
    7. Murase, Koichi, 2013. "Asymmetric effects of the exchange rate on domestic corporate goods prices," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 25, pages 80-89.
    8. Bhattacharya, Prasad S. & Thomakos, Dimitrios D., 2008. "Forecasting industry-level CPI and PPI inflation: Does exchange rate pass-through matter?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 134-150.
    9. Offer Lieberman & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2014. "Norming Rates And Limit Theory For Some Time-Varying Coefficient Autoregressions," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(6), pages 592-623, November.
    10. Bagnai, Alberto & Mongeau Ospina, Christian Alexander, 2015. "Long- and short-run price asymmetries and hysteresis in the Italian gasoline market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 41-50.
    11. Abdelraouf, Nadine & Noureldin, Diaa, 2022. "The impact of the exchange rate regime on the dispersion of the price-change distribution: Evidence from a large panel of countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    12. Huh, Hyeon-seung & Jang, Inwon, 2007. "Nonlinear Phillips curve, sacrifice ratio, and the natural rate of unemployment," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 24(5), pages 797-813, September.
    13. Dominique Guegan, 2005. "How can we Define the Concept of Long Memory? An Econometric Survey," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 113-149.
    14. Shambaugh, Jay, 2008. "A new look at pass-through," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(4), pages 560-591, June.
    15. Daiki Maki & Yasushi Ota, 2021. "Testing for Time-Varying Properties Under Misspecified Conditional Mean and Variance," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 57(4), pages 1167-1182, April.
    16. Aliyu, Shehu Usman Rano & Yakub, Ma'aji Umar & Sanni, Ganiyu Kayode & Duke, Omolara, 2009. "Exchange Rate Pass-through in Nigeria: Evidence from a Vector Error Correction Model," MPRA Paper 25053, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 29 Mar 2010.
    17. Santiago Bazdresch & Adrian de la Garza & Alejandra Lelo de Larrea, 2018. "How Does the Economy Respond to a Depreciation? Evidence in the Dynamics of Profit Margins, Company Values and Retail Prices of Mexican Public Corporations, 2010-2017," 2018 Meeting Papers 863, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    18. Levent, Korap, 2007. "Impact of Exchange Rate Changes on Domestic Inflation: he Turkish Experience," MPRA Paper 19589, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Coenen, Gunter & Wieland, Volker, 2005. "A small estimated euro area model with rational expectations and nominal rigidities," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(5), pages 1081-1104, July.
    20. Mr. David Cook & Woon Gyu Choi, 2008. "New Keynesian Exchange Rate Pass-Through," IMF Working Papers 2008/213, International Monetary Fund.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:850. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Clorith Angélica Bahos Olivera (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/brcgvco.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.