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¿Está Afectando el Impuesto Predial el Precio de la Vivienda en Bogotá? Un Análisis Basado en la Econometría Espacial

Author

Listed:
  • Ignacio Lozano-Espitia

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

  • Diana Ricciulli-Marin

    (Banco de la República de Colombia)

Abstract

Este documento provee evidencia sobre los efectos del impuesto predial en los precios de la vivienda nueva en Bogotá para el período 2009-2016. Se utiliza información fiscal y de los atributos físicos y de localización de 6.013 predios residenciales de estratos medios y altos, ubicados en las tres localidades de mayor urbanización y contribución al fisco (Chapinero, Suba y Usaquén). Mediante el uso de modelos espaciales para datos de panel, el trabajo encuentra que los aumentos registrados en la tarifa efectiva del predial han impactado negativamente los precios de los inmuebles y que dicho efecto ha venido aumentando en los últimos años. Los resultados son robustos tanto a cambios en la matriz de pesos espaciales como a cambios en las metodologías de estimación. Los ejercicios controlan por los impactos sobre los precios debidos a los atributos físicos de las viviendas, su estrato y ubicación, con resultados coherentes con la evidencia internacional sobre precios hedónicos.

Suggested Citation

  • Ignacio Lozano-Espitia & Diana Ricciulli-Marin, 2017. "¿Está Afectando el Impuesto Predial el Precio de la Vivienda en Bogotá? Un Análisis Basado en la Econometría Espacial," Borradores de Economia 1016, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    • Handle: RePEc:bdr:borrec:1016
    DOI: 10.32468/be.1016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Wilmar Alexander Cabrera-Rodríguez & Juan Sebastián Mariño-Montaña & Carlos Andrés Quicazán-Moreno, 2019. "Modelos hedónicos con efectos espaciales: una aproximación al cálculo de índices de precios de vivienda para Bogotá," Borradores de Economia 1072, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Impuestos a la propiedad; precios de la vivienda; modelos hedónicos; econometría espacial;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H71 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - State and Local Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue
    • R14 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Land Use Patterns
    • R13 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - General Equilibrium and Welfare Economic Analysis of Regional Economies
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

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