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Spain in the euro: a general equilibrium analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Javier Andrés

    (Universidad de Valencia)

  • Samuel Hurtado

    (Banco de España)

  • Eva Ortega

    (Banco de España)

  • Carlos Thomas

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

This paper analyzes the determinants of Spain's macroeconomic fluctuations since the inception of the euro in 1999, with a special attention to observed growth and inflation differentials with respect to the rest of the European Monetary Union (EMU). For that purpose we estimate the Banco de España DSGE model of the Spanish economy and the rest of the Eurosystem (BEMOD). We find that observed differentials are the result of a combination of asymmetric country-specific shocks (in particular, demand and productivity shocks for growth and cost-push shocks for inflation) as well as asymmetric economic structure (especially lower nominal wage and price rigidities in Spain). Finally, we find that EMU membership has had a non-negligible effect on observed differentials.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Andrés & Samuel Hurtado & Eva Ortega & Carlos Thomas, 2009. "Spain in the euro: a general equilibrium analysis," Working Papers 0927, Banco de España.
    • Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0927
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE model; monetary union; growth and inflation differentials; Bayesian inference;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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