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Exports of Primary Products and Manufactures of Agricultural Origin in Argentina

Author

Listed:
  • Luis Lanter

    (Central Bank of Argentina)

Abstract

This paper investigates the sources of fluctuations in exports of primary products and manufactures of agricultural origin in Argentina, using structural VEC models (Structural Vector Error Correction) and annual data covering the period 1980-2016. To this end, long term restrictions are imposed on these models and the following structural shocks are identified: real effective exchange rate of U.S., international prices of commodities, agricultural GDP and real exchange rate of Argentina (in addition to exports of these products). The results show that the main sources of fluctuations in exports, after ten years, would be the shocks in international prices and real exchange rate of U.S., while the importance of the real exchange rate of Argentina and, especially, of the supply shocks would be smaller.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis Lanter, 2017. "Exports of Primary Products and Manufactures of Agricultural Origin in Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 201776, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcr:wpaper:201776
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    macroeconomic shocks; exports; primary products; SVEC models; Argentina;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C3 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables
    • F1 - International Economics - - Trade
    • Q1 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture

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