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Preços Administrados: projeção e repasse cambial

Author

Listed:
  • Paulo Roberto de Sampaio Alves
  • Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo
  • Antonio Negromonte Nascimento Junior
  • Leonardo Pio Perez

Abstract

This paper presents the framework employed by the Central Bank of Brazil for the projection of administered prices. Such framework is applied in the generation of short and medium term forecasts and combines econometric models with the “accounting” modeling based on expert analysis. The text also covers the review of the coefficients of exchange rate pass-through to administered prices, which affects the trajectory of the headline IPCA in the projection models.

Suggested Citation

  • Paulo Roberto de Sampaio Alves & Francisco Marcos Rodrigues Figueiredo & Antonio Negromonte Nascimento Junior & Leonardo Pio Perez, 2013. "Preços Administrados: projeção e repasse cambial," Working Papers Series 305, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:bcb:wpaper:305
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    File URL: https://www.bcb.gov.br/content/publicacoes/WorkingPaperSeries/TD305.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Machado, Vicente da Gama & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Measuring inflation persistence in Brazil using a multivariate model," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(2), June.
    2. Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2013. "Complex networks and banking systems supervision," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(19), pages 4429-4434.

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