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Database of Sovereign Defaults, 2015 (Revised May 2015)

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  • David Beers
  • Jean-Sébastien Nadeau

Abstract

Until recently, there have been few efforts to systematically measure and aggregate the nominal value of the different types of sovereign government debt in default. To help fill this gap, the Bank of Canada’s Credit Rating Assessment Group (CRAG) has developed a comprehensive database of sovereign defaults posted on the Bank of Canada’s website. Our database draws on previously published data sets compiled by various official and private sector sources. It combines elements of these, together with new information, to develop estimates of stocks of government obligations in default, including bonds and other marketable securities, bank loans, and official loans in default, valued in U.S. dollars, for the years 1975 to 2014 on both a country-by-country and a global basis. This update of CRAG’s database, and subsequent updates, will be useful to researchers analyzing the economic and financial effects of individual sovereign defaults and, importantly, the impact on global financial stability of episodes involving multiple sovereign defaults.

Suggested Citation

  • David Beers & Jean-Sébastien Nadeau, 2014. "Database of Sovereign Defaults, 2015 (Revised May 2015)," Technical Reports 101, Bank of Canada.
    • Handle: RePEc:bca:bocatr:101
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    File URL: https://www.banqueducanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/tr101.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Kuvshinov, Dmitry & Zimmermann, Kaspar, 2016. "Sovereigns going bust: estimating the cost of default," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 01/2016, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
    2. Barbara Jarmulska, 2022. "Random forest versus logit models: Which offers better early warning of fiscal stress?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(3), pages 455-490, April.
    3. Antonio Bassanetti & Carlo Cottarelli & Andrea F Presbitero, 2019. "Lost and found: market access and public debt dynamics," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 71(2), pages 445-471.
    4. Iván M. Rodríguez & Krishnan Dandapani & Edward R. Lawrence, 2019. "Measuring Sovereign Risk: Are CDS Spreads Better than Sovereign Credit Ratings?," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 48(1), pages 229-256, March.
    5. Stefan Eichler, 2017. "How Do Political Factors Shape the Bank Risk–Sovereign Risk Nexus in Emerging Markets?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 451-474, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Debt Management; Development economics; Financial stability; International financial markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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