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Fiscal Devaluations in EMU

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  • José Emilio Boscá
  • Rafael Domenech
  • Javier Ferri

Abstract

We use a small open economy general equilibrium model to analyse the effects of a fiscal devaluation in EMU. The model has been calibrated for the Spanish economy, that is a good example of the advantages of a change in the tax mix, given that its tax system shows a positive bias in the ratio of social security contributions over consumption taxes. The preliminary empirical evidence for European countries shows that this bias was negatively correlated with the current account balance in the expansionary years previous to the 2009 crisis, where many EMU members accumulated large external imbalances. Our simulations results point to positive significant effects of a fiscal devaluation on GDP and employment similar to the ones that could be obtained with a exchange rate devaluation. However, although the effects in terms of GDP and employment are similar, the composition effects of fiscal and nominal devaluations are not alike. In both cases, there is an improvement in net exports, but the effects on domestic and external demand are quite different.

Suggested Citation

  • José Emilio Boscá & Rafael Domenech & Javier Ferri, 2012. "Fiscal Devaluations in EMU," Working Papers 1211, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbv:wpaper:1211
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    Cited by:

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    2. Philipp Engler & Giovanni Ganelli & Juha Tervala & Simon Voigts, 2017. "Fiscal Devaluation in a Monetary Union," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 65(2), pages 241-272, June.
    3. Hinterlang, Natascha & Martin, Anika & Röhe, Oke & Stähler, Nikolai & Strobel, Johannes, 2022. "Using energy and emissions taxation to finance labor tax reductions in a multi-sector economy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    4. Auray, Stéphane & Eyquem, Aurélien & Ma, Xiaofei, 2017. "Competitive tax reforms in a monetary union with endogenous entry and tradability," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 126-143.
    5. Lipińska, Anna & von Thadden, Leopold, 2019. "On The Effectiveness Of Fiscal Devaluations In A Monetary Union," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(8), pages 3424-3456, December.
    6. Hasim Akca & Oguzhan Bozatli, 2020. "Fiscal devaluation and net export: dynamic panel data analysis on the Euro Area," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(18), pages 1500-1504, October.
    7. Rodríguez, Miguel & Robaina, Margarita & Teotónio, Carla, 2019. "Sectoral effects of a Green Tax Reform in Portugal," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 104(C), pages 408-418.
    8. Bielecki, Marcin & Stähler, Nikolai, 2022. "Labor Tax Reductions In Europe: The Role Of Property Taxation," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(2), pages 419-451, March.
    9. repec:hum:wpaper:sfb649dp2014-011 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Francesc Sastre & Javier Rey-Maquieira & Italo Arbulú, 2017. "The euro crisis, fiscal devaluation, and impacts on the tourism sector in the Spanish economy," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(4), pages 816-833, June.
    11. Mónica Correa Lopez & Rafael Domenech, 2012. "The Internationalisation of Spanish Firms," Working Papers 1230, BBVA Bank, Economic Research Department.
    12. Enders Almira & Groll Dominik & Stähler Nikolai, 2020. "Parity funding of health care contributions in Germany: A DSGE perspective," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 217-233, June.
    13. Maria-Grazia Attinasi & Doris Prammer & Nikolai Stähler & Martino Tasso & Stefan van Parys, 2019. "Budget-Neutral Labor Tax Wedge Reductions: A Sumulation-Based Analysis for the Euro Area," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 15(4), pages 1-54, October.
    14. Ruppert, Kilian & Schön, Matthias & Stähler, Nikolai, 2024. "Consumption taxation to finance pension payments," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    15. Ruppert, Kilian & Stähler, Nikolai, 2022. "What drives the German current account? Household savings, capital investments and public policies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    16. Vukšić, Goran & Holzner, Mario, 2016. "Trade and fiscal imbalances in Southeastern Europe: Can fiscal devaluation help?," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(4), pages 568-581.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    tax mix; fiscal devaluation; nominal devaluation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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