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Codependence and Cointegration

Author

Listed:
  • Trenkler, Carsten
  • Weber, Enzo

Abstract

We introduce the idea of common serial correlation features among non-stationary, cointegrated variables. That is, the time series do not only trend together in the long run, but adjustment restores equilibrium immediately in the period following a deviation. Allowing for delayed re-equilibration, we extend the framework to codependence. The restrictions derived for VECMs exhibiting the common feature are checked by LR and GMM-type tests. Alongside, we provide corrected maximum codependence orders and discuss identification. The concept is applied to US and European interest rate data, examining the capability of the Fed and ECB to control overnight money market rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Trenkler, Carsten & Weber, Enzo, 2009. "Codependence and Cointegration," University of Regensburg Working Papers in Business, Economics and Management Information Systems 437, University of Regensburg, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:bay:rdwiwi:9852
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    File URL: https://epub.uni-regensburg.de/9852/1/CodependenceCointegration.pdf
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VAR; serial correlation common features; codependence; cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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