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Vulnérabilités énergétiques et conséquences macroéconomiques en Indonésie

Author

Listed:
  • Slim DALI
  • Rodolphe BOCQUET
  • Edouard PLUS
  • Olivier RECH

Abstract

L’énergie se situe au cœur de la politique économique de l’Indonésie fondée depuis Suharto (1966) sur la valorisation des ressources naturelles. Le pays dispose en effet de considérables ressources fossiles mais également d‘un potentiel d‘énergies renouvelables significatif. A ce titre, le solde positif de la balance commerciale énergétique a jusque très récemment constitué une contribution majeure aux besoins de financement du pays.L’exploitation de cette richesse énergétique pose toutefois plusieurs questions:"Dans quelle mesure la déplétion de ces actifs naturels donne-t-elle lieu à la création d‘autres actifs nationaux, capital productif, financier et humain, susceptible d‘assurer un effet de levier dans le développement économique du pays?""Quelles sont les tendances d‘évolution du mix énergétique et comment se traduisent-elles en termes de compétitivité des secteurs productifs de pouvoir d‘achat des ménages et d‘équilibre des comptes publics?""De quelle manière les spécificités géographiques (archipel), ethniques (provinces séparatistes) et sociologiques (répartition des revenus) constituent-elles des déterminants de la stratégie énergétique nationale et des enjeux politiques associés?"C‘est à l’aune de ces différents indicateurs que la capacité de l’économie indonésienne à faire face aux incertitudes croissantes de la nouvelle ère énergie-climat, amorcée avec le tournant du siècle, doit être examinée. Les enjeux énergétiques constitueront à n‘en pas douter une des variables clé de la trajectoire de développement à venir.

Suggested Citation

  • Slim DALI & Rodolphe BOCQUET & Edouard PLUS & Olivier RECH, 2017. "Vulnérabilités énergétiques et conséquences macroéconomiques en Indonésie," Working Paper 1e6889ce-854e-4915-84d6-2, Agence française de développement.
    • Handle: RePEc:avg:wpaper:fr780
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Annabelle Mourougane, 2010. "Phasing Out Energy Subsidies in Indonesia," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 808, OECD Publishing.
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    3. Diop, Ndiame, 2014. "Why Is Reducing Energy Subsidies a Prudent, Fair, and Transformative Policy for Indonesia?," World Bank - Economic Premise, The World Bank, issue 140, pages 1-6, April.
    4. Dulani Seneviratne & Ms. Yan M Sun, 2013. "Infrastructure and Income Distribution in ASEAN-5: What are the Links?," IMF Working Papers 2013/041, International Monetary Fund.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Orients; Indonésie;

    JEL classification:

    • Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics

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