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Fiscal Consolidation and Public Debt

Author

Listed:
  • Sakai Ando

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Prachi Mishra

    (Ashoka University)

  • Nikhil Patel

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Adrian Peralta- Alva

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Andrea F. Presbitero

    (International Monetary Fund and CEPR)

Abstract

High public debt is urging policy makers to consider strategies to rebuild buffers and preserve debt sustainability. We study whether—and under which conditions—fiscal consolidation is likely to be associated with a durable reduction in public debt to GDP ratios. Our findings based on a sample of advanced and emerging countries indicate that the average fiscal consolidation has a minimal effect. However, discretionary consolidations (or an increase in the primary balance to GDP beyond what is driven by business cycle considerations) implemented during economic upturns or in scenarios where they can “crowd in†private investment, are likely to be associated with sustained reductions in debt ratios.

Suggested Citation

  • Sakai Ando & Prachi Mishra & Nikhil Patel & Adrian Peralta- Alva & Andrea F. Presbitero, 2024. "Fiscal Consolidation and Public Debt," Working Papers 126, Ashoka University, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:ash:wpaper:126
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    File URL: https://dp.ashoka.edu.in/ash/wpaper/paper126_0.pdf
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    Keywords

    Fiscal consolidation;

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