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The Relationship between Housing Wealth, Financial Wealth and Household Consumption in China

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  • Jie Chen
  • Aiyong Zhu

Abstract

The paper investigates the relationship between changes in housing wealth, financial wealth and the trend movements of household consumption in urban China. By employing the VECM cointegration model, we demonstrate that there is a unique long-run cointegrating relationship between the household consumption, disposable income, financial wealth and housing wealth in urban China. Meanwhile, we find that the housing wealth is the mere factor to restore the long run equilibrium relationship when the cointegrated system is disturbed by external shock. In addition, our permanent-transitory variance decomposition analysis indicates that nearly all variance in the movement of consumption is permanent, supporting the classical random walk hypothesis of consumption behavior. However, a large proportion of variance in the short-run movements of housing wealth is found to be transitory.

Suggested Citation

  • Jie Chen & Aiyong Zhu, 2009. "The Relationship between Housing Wealth, Financial Wealth and Household Consumption in China," ERES eres2009_276, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2009_276
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    Cited by:

    1. Feng Guo & Ying Huang, 2010. "Hot Money and Business Cycle Volatility: Evidence from China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 18(6), pages 73-89, November.
    2. María Jesús Herrerias & Vicente Orts, 2010. "Is the Export-led Growth Hypothesis Enough to Account for China's Growth?," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 18(s1), pages 34-51.
    3. Beatrice D. Simo-Kengne & Rangan Gupta & Manoel Bittencourt, 2013. "The Impact of House Prices on Consumption in South Africa: Evidence from Provincial-Level Panel VARs," Housing Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(8), pages 1133-1154, November.
    4. Guo, Feng & Huang, Ying Sophie, 2010. "Does "hot money" drive China's real estate and stock markets?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 452-466, June.
    5. Shu-hen Chiang, 2014. "Housing Markets in China and Policy Implications: Comovement or Ripple Effect," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 22(6), pages 103-120, November.
    6. repec:aly:journl:202051 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Chi-Wei Su & Xiao-Cui Yin & Ran Tao, 2018. "How do housing prices affect consumption in China? New evidence from a continuous wavelet analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(9), pages 1-14, September.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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