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Generalized minority games with adaptive trend-followers and contrarians

Author

Listed:
  • A. De Martino
  • I. Giardina
  • M. Marsili
  • A. Tedeschi

Abstract

We introduce a simple extension of the minority game in which the market rewards contrarian (resp. trend-following) strategies when it is far from (resp. close to) efficiency. The model displays a smooth crossover from a regime where contrarians dominate to one where trend-followers dominate. In the intermediate phase, the stationary state is characterized by non-Gaussian features as well as by the formation of sustained trends and bubbles.

Suggested Citation

  • A. De Martino & I. Giardina & M. Marsili & A. Tedeschi, 2004. "Generalized minority games with adaptive trend-followers and contrarians," Papers cond-mat/0403649, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/0403649
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    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/cond-mat/0403649
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    Cited by:

    1. Wen-Juan Xu & Chen-Yang Zhong & Fei Ren & Tian Qiu & Rong-Da Chen & Yun-Xin He & Li-Xin Zhong, 2020. "Evolutionary dynamics in financial markets with heterogeneities in strategies and risk tolerance," Papers 2010.08962, arXiv.org.
    2. Wen-Juan Xu & Li-Xin Zhong, 2022. "Market impact shapes competitive advantage of investment strategies in financial markets," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-23, February.
    3. Meneguzzer, Claudio, 2022. "Day-to-day dynamics in a simple traffic network with mixed direct and contrarian route choice behaviors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 603(C).
    4. Lucas Fievet & Didier Sornette, 2018. "Calibrating emergent phenomena in stock markets with agent based models," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 13(3), pages 1-17, March.
    5. Lustosa, Bernardo C. & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2010. "Constrained information minority game: How was the night at El Farol?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(6), pages 1230-1238.
    6. Miquel Montero, 2021. "Predator–prey model for stock market fluctuations," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 16(1), pages 29-57, January.
    7. Mello, Bernardo A. & Cajueiro, Daniel O., 2008. "Minority games, diversity, cooperativity and the concept of intelligence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(2), pages 557-566.
    8. Alfi, V. & De Martino, A. & Pietronero, L. & Tedeschi, A., 2007. "Detecting the traders’ strategies in minority–majority games and real stock-prices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 382(1), pages 1-8.
    9. Anirban Chakraborti & Ioane Muni Toke & Marco Patriarca & Frédéric Abergel, 2011. "Econophysics review: II. Agent-based models," Post-Print hal-00621059, HAL.

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