IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2410.09594.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Comparative Analysis of Remittance Inflows- International Reserves-External Debt Dyad: Exploring Bangladesh's Economic Resilience in Avoiding Sovereign Default Compared to Sri Lanka

Author

Listed:
  • Nusrat Nawshin
  • Asif Imtiaz
  • Md. Shamsuddin Sarker

Abstract

External debt has been identified as the most liable to cause financial crises in developing countries in Asia and Latin America. One recent example of near bankruptcy in Sri Lanka has raised serious concerns among economists about how to anticipate and tackle external debt-related problems. Bangladesh also faced a decline in export income and a sharp rise in import prices amid the aforementioned global shocks. Nevertheless, the international reserves of Bangladesh have never fallen to the level they did in Sri Lanka. This paper examines the relationship between remittance inflows, international reserves, and external debt in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. Econometric estimations reveal that remittance affects external debt both directly and through international reserves in Bangladesh. The existence of a Dutch Disease effect in the remittance inflows-international reserves relationship has also been confirmed in Bangladesh. We also show that Bangladesh uses international reserves as collateral to obtain more external borrowing, while Sri Lanka, like many other developing countries, accumulates international reserves to deplete in "bad times." Remittances can be seen as one of the significant factors preventing Bangladesh from becoming a sovereign defaulter, whereas Sri Lanka faced that fate.

Suggested Citation

  • Nusrat Nawshin & Asif Imtiaz & Md. Shamsuddin Sarker, 2024. "Comparative Analysis of Remittance Inflows- International Reserves-External Debt Dyad: Exploring Bangladesh's Economic Resilience in Avoiding Sovereign Default Compared to Sri Lanka," Papers 2410.09594, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2410.09594
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2410.09594
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sheng, Xuguang Simon & Sukaj, Rubena, 2021. "Identifying external debt shocks in low- and middle-income countries," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    2. Anupam Das & Murshed Chowdhury, 2019. "Macroeconomic impacts of remittances in Bangladesh: The role of reverse flows," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 48(3), November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Victor T. Ojapinwa & Dami Lawani, 2022. "Diaspora Remittances, Renewable Energy and Enterprise Growth in Nigeria," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 25(83), pages 57-73, June.
    2. Anupam Das & Adian McFarlane & Luc Carels, 2021. "Empirical exploration of remittances and renewable energy consumption in Bangladesh," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 65-89, February.
    3. Farrukh Nawaz Kayani, 2022. "Analyzing the Impact of Foreign Remittances uponPoverty: A Case of Uzbekistan from Central Asia," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(1), pages 1-6.
    4. Mohsin, Muhammad & Ullah, Hafeez & Iqbal, Nadeem & Iqbal, Wasim & Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad, 2021. "How external debt led to economic growth in South Asia: A policy perspective analysis from quantile regression," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 423-437.
    5. Das, Anupam & Brown, Leanora & Mcfarlane, Adian, 2023. "Economic Misery and Remittances in Jamaica," Journal of Economic Development, The Economic Research Institute, Chung-Ang University, vol. 48(2), pages 33-52, June.
    6. Waliu O. Shittu & Gazi M. Hassan & Frank G. Scrimgeour, 2023. "COVID-19 and the Role of Remittances on Sustainable Development: Insights from Sub-Saharan Africa," Working Papers in Economics 23/05, University of Waikato.
    7. Anupam Das & Adian McFarlane, 2020. "Remittances and disaggregated energy consumption in Bangladesh," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 67(2), pages 251-268, June.
    8. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil & Alancioğlu, Erdal & Kacou, Kacou Yves Thierry, 2021. "New insights on the debt-growth nexus: A combination of the interactive fixed effects and panel threshold approach," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 40-55.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2410.09594. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.