IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2304.09761.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

An innovative Deep Learning Based Approach for Accurate Agricultural Crop Price Prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Mayank Ratan Bhardwaj

    (Indian Institute of Science)

  • Jaydeep Pawar

    (Indian Institute of Science)

  • Abhijnya Bhat

    (PES University)

  • Deepanshu

    (Indian Institute of Science)

  • Inavamsi Enaganti

    (Indian Institute of Science)

  • Kartik Sagar

    (Indian Institute of Science)

  • Y. Narahari

    (Indian Institute of Science)

Abstract

Accurate prediction of agricultural crop prices is a crucial input for decision-making by various stakeholders in agriculture: farmers, consumers, retailers, wholesalers, and the Government. These decisions have significant implications including, most importantly, the economic well-being of the farmers. In this paper, our objective is to accurately predict crop prices using historical price information, climate conditions, soil type, location, and other key determinants of crop prices. This is a technically challenging problem, which has been attempted before. In this paper, we propose an innovative deep learning based approach to achieve increased accuracy in price prediction. The proposed approach uses graph neural networks (GNNs) in conjunction with a standard convolutional neural network (CNN) model to exploit geospatial dependencies in prices. Our approach works well with noisy legacy data and produces a performance that is at least 20% better than the results available in the literature. We are able to predict prices up to 30 days ahead. We choose two vegetables, potato (stable price behavior) and tomato (volatile price behavior) and work with noisy public data available from Indian agricultural markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Mayank Ratan Bhardwaj & Jaydeep Pawar & Abhijnya Bhat & Deepanshu & Inavamsi Enaganti & Kartik Sagar & Y. Narahari, 2023. "An innovative Deep Learning Based Approach for Accurate Agricultural Crop Price Prediction," Papers 2304.09761, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.09761
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.09761
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2304.09761. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.