IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/arx/papers/2103.08319.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimism and Pessimism in Strategic Interactions under Ignorance

Author

Listed:
  • Pierfrancesco Guarino
  • Gabriel Ziegler

Abstract

We study players interacting under the veil of ignorance, who have -- coarse -- beliefs represented as subsets of opponents' actions. We analyze when these players follow $\max \min$ or $\max\max$ decision criteria, which we identify with pessimistic or optimistic attitudes, respectively. Explicitly formalizing these attitudes and how players reason interactively under ignorance, we characterize the behavioral implications related to common belief in these events: while optimism is related to Point Rationalizability, a new algorithm -- Wald Rationalizability -- captures pessimism. Our characterizations allow us to uncover novel results: ($i$) regarding optimism, we relate it to wishful thinking \'a la Yildiz (2007) and we prove that dropping the (implicit) "belief-implies-truth" assumption reverses an existence failure described therein; ($ii$) we shed light on the notion of rationality in ordinal games; ($iii$) we clarify the conceptual underpinnings behind a discontinuity in Rationalizability hinted in the analysis of Weinstein (2016).

Suggested Citation

  • Pierfrancesco Guarino & Gabriel Ziegler, 2021. "Optimism and Pessimism in Strategic Interactions under Ignorance," Papers 2103.08319, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2022.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.08319
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://arxiv.org/pdf/2103.08319
    File Function: Latest version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Satoshi Fukuda, 2024. "On the consistency among prior, posteriors, and information sets," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 78(2), pages 521-565, September.
    2. Tang, Rui & Zhang, Mu, 2023. "Motivated naivete," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2103.08319. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: arXiv administrators (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://arxiv.org/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.