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Quantitative earnings enhancement from share buybacks

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  • Lawrence Middleton
  • James Dodd
  • Graham Baird

Abstract

This paper aims to explore the mechanical effect of a company's share repurchase on earnings per share (EPS). In particular, while a share repurchase scheme will reduce the overall number of shares, suggesting that the EPS may increase, clearly the expenditure will reduce the net earnings of a company, introducing a trade-off between these competing effects. We first of all review accretive share repurchases, then characterise the increase in EPS as a function of price paid by the company. Subsequently, we analyse and quantify the estimated difference in earnings growth between a company's natural growth in the absence of buyback scheme to that with its earnings altered as a result of the buybacks. We conclude with an examination of the effect of share repurchases in two cases studies in the US stock-market.

Suggested Citation

  • Lawrence Middleton & James Dodd & Graham Baird, 2019. "Quantitative earnings enhancement from share buybacks," Papers 1911.04199, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1911.04199
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hribar, Paul & Jenkins, Nicole Thorne & Johnson, W. Bruce, 2006. "Stock repurchases as an earnings management device," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1-2), pages 3-27, April.
    2. Jagannathan, Murali & Stephens, Clifford P. & Weisbach, Michael S., 2000. "Financial flexibility and the choice between dividends and stock repurchases," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(3), pages 355-384, September.
    3. Gustavo Grullon & David L. Ikenberry, 2000. "What Do We Know About Stock Repurchases?," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 13(1), pages 31-51, March.
    4. Bens, Daniel A. & Nagar, Venky & Skinner, Douglas J. & Wong, M. H. Franco, 2003. "Employee stock options, EPS dilution, and stock repurchases," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(1-3), pages 51-90, December.
    5. Joseph W. Gruber & Steven B. Kamin, 2017. "Corporate Buybacks and Capital Investment: An International Perspective," IFDP Notes 2017-04-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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