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Statistical Arbitrage for Multiple Co-Integrated Stocks

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  • T. N. Li
  • A. Papanicolaou

Abstract

In this article, we analyse optimal statistical arbitrage strategies from stochastic control and optimisation problems for multiple co-integrated stocks with eigenportfolios being factors. Optimal portfolio weights are found by solving a Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) partial differential equation, which we solve for both an unconstrained portfolio and a portfolio constrained to be market neutral. Our analyses demonstrate sufficient conditions on the model parameters to ensure long-term stability of the HJB solutions and stable growth rates for the optimal portfolios. To gauge how these optimal portfolios behave in practice, we perform backtests on historical stock prices of the S&P 500 constituents from year 2000 through year 2021. These backtests suggest three key conclusions: that the proposed co-integrated model with eigenportfolios being factors can generate a large number of co-integrated stocks over a long time horizon, that the optimal portfolios are sensitive to parameter estimation, and that the statistical arbitrage strategies are more profitable in periods when overall market volatilities are high.

Suggested Citation

  • T. N. Li & A. Papanicolaou, 2019. "Statistical Arbitrage for Multiple Co-Integrated Stocks," Papers 1908.02164, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2022.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1908.02164
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. E. Boguslavskaya & M. Boguslavsky & D. Muravey, 2020. "Trading multiple mean reversion," Papers 2009.09816, arXiv.org.
    2. Grytten, Jostein & Skau, Irene & Sørensen, Rune, 2024. "Fertility and immigration: Do immigrant mothers hand down their fertility pattern to the next generation? Evidence from Norway," Economics & Human Biology, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).

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